The Delphi method is a structured forecasting technique that relies on the input of a group of experts to reach a consensus on a particular topic. It involves a series of questionnaires or surveys that are sent to a panel of experts, who provide their opinions and predictions on the topic. The responses are then collected, summarized, and redistributed to the experts, with the aim of stimulating discussion and refining their original responses. This iterative process continues until a consensus is reached or a predefined stopping criterion is met. The Delphi method allows for the aggregation of diverse expertise and helps to mitigate biases and individual or group influence, making it a valuable tool for decision-making and forecasting in various fields.
Delphi Method Decision Making Forecasting Consensus Expert Opinion
This mind map was published on 19 November 2023 and has been viewed 17 times.